Hindsight bias

Hindsight bias, or the I know it all along bias. Humans tend to reconstruct stories around past events to underestimate the surprise caused by those events.

If the event happens, people exaggerate the probability that they knew it was going to happen. If the event doesn't occur, they recall that they thought it was unlikely.


BOOK- Thinking, Fast and Slow Private or Broken Links
The page you're looking for is either not available or private!