Hindsight bias

  • he I know it all along bias.
  • Humans tend to reconstruct stories around past events to underestimate the surprise caused by those events.
  • If the event happens, people exaggerate the probability that they knew it was going to happen.
  • If the event doesn't occur, they recall that they thought it was unlikely.

Source

  • –BOOK- Thinking, Fast and Slow Private or Broken Links
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  • §Psychology Private or Broken Links
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